Article from Volume 12, Issue Number 4, 2025

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The Reiss Report: Condo Real Estate Blog - Fall 2025

By Alan Reiss | Other articles by Alan Reiss | Regular Column

Third quarter condo prices continue moving up

Winnipeg condo prices continued their upward momentum in the third quarter of 2025, with September’s average sale price of $297,213 nearly matching the all-time record set in May, when it was $297,864. Sales activity was also impressive — particularly in July, which saw 238 transactions, a 12 per cent increase over July 2024.

Monthly highlights

July

  • 238 sales, up 9 per cent over the five-year average.

  • One in four condos sold for $150,000 to $199,999.

  • Average days on market: just four weeks.

August

  • 25 per cent of condos sold above list price, with another 16 per cent selling at list price.

  • 41 per cent of sales ranged from $150,000 to $249,999.

  • 84 per cent of new listings sold within one month.

September

  • The September average sale price was a record $297,213, which was 11 per cent above the five-year average.

  • 17 sales were above $500,000 — double the total in September 2024, including one at $1,325,000.

  • There were more than 200 sales, up 9 per cent from the five-year average of 184.

  • Active listings: 438, 9 per cent below the five-year average of 483.

 

Year-to-date highlights

  • The share of above-list sales rose from 21 to 25 per cent, while below-list sales dropped from 66 to 59 per cent year over year.

  • Of 1,771 total condo sales, 1,483 (84 per cent) were in Winnipeg and 288 (16 per cent) were outside the city — virtually in line with the five-year average.

  • Sales-to-listings conversion: 68 per cent, second only to 70 per cent in 2022. 

Average condo price:

  • Winnipeg: $279,455

  • Outside Winnipeg: $300,776

  • Overall market region: $282,992 (up 2 per cent over 2024)

Most active areas:

  • Osborne Village: 136 sales

  • Downtown and Waverley West: 81 sales each

  • Morden/Winkler (outside Winnipeg): 61 sales

  • Niverville/Ritchot: 47 sales

Top performing price to sales ratios: Crescentwood/North River Heights (119 per cent) and East St. Paul (125 per cent).

Market overview

These results confirm a solid condo market characterized by sustained demand, rising prices and a strong listing-to-sales conversion rate. Buyer interest remains high across a wide range of price points, and inventory continues to tighten. With just over two months of supply at quarter-end — compared to the four months typical of a balanced market — conditions clearly favour sellers.

Affordability has also improved, supported by the Bank of Canada’s September mortgage rate cut to 2.5 per cent (down from 4.25 per cent a year earlier) and a potential further 0.25 per cent reduction expected by late October.

At the end of September, CREA’s Home Price Index benchmark for apartment-style condos in the region stood at $239,000, up from $228,000 a year earlier — well within reach for many qualified buyers.

Outlook

All indicators point to continued stability and confidence in the condo market through the year-end. With strong demand, limited supply and improving affordability, there’s every reason to expect 2025 to finish on a positive note.

 

 

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Vol. 12, Issue 4, October 2025
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